FX Market View #20

Dollar rally’s on inflation and retail sales data The Dollar rally’s against all major currencies last week apart for the Yen, to break the resistance it faced earlier in the month. A contributing factor towards the slight rally in Yen is put down to the BOJ tweaking its macro forecasts during Friday’s meeting. In effect,…
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FX Market View #19

Dollar resists short term sell-off and trades higher In the past week the Dollar faced resistance to its near-term trend of strengthening against the currency majors. Despite the fact that the jobs report released in the beginning of the month showed robust numbers, the greenback initially declined following a bout of profit-taking. However, the short-selling…
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FX Market View #18

Is this the time to buy into the Dollar dip? Following a hawkish view from the FED, the markets have priced in at least one rate hike before the end of next year. This contributed towards a Dollar recovery in the past 7 days; however the technical picture appears stretched. The Dollar near-term trend starting…
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FX Market View #17

Dollar experiences technical weakening gainst the majors During the past week the Dollar was pushed back as it failed to consolidate weeks of gains against the currency majors. From a technical stance this scenario is not totally unexpected. If you include a more hawkish tone from the FED with economic data revealing an increase in…
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FX Market View #16

Hawkish FED projections send the Dollar higher The US Dollar rallied following statements from the FED that were more hawkish than previously expected. Lifted higher by the a rise in US interest rates, the Dollar rally was coincided with a sell-off in equities and continued throughout the capital markets. Coming into the weekend the markets…
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FX Market View #15

Dollar holds onto current levels despite the drop in US yields The US 10-year yield has continued its pattern of trending lower during the past 3 months, and the fall during last week’s trading session was the largest in the past year. This decline has now made it to a consecutive 4 week period of…
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FX Market View #14

A Healthy US Jobs Market is unable to lift the Dollar The US jobs report in May released numbers of a somewhat healthy half a million new employment contracts, however this disappointed against the much higher expected figure. The let down in May came shortly after the revised April numbers heavily under achieved the 1…
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FX Market View #13

Dollar range narrows with Month-end corrections As we approach month-end, investor interest in the Dollar accumulated resulting in the greenback shoring up against the majors. It is not clear however if this Dollar strengthening can be seen as a shift in the near-term trend or simply a balancing of investor portfolios. Any sustainable shift towards…
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FX Market View #12

Dollar is unlikely to consolidation higher in near term The FED is continuing its path of buying US treasuries even as the economy is expanding, and the vaccine rollout is helping to open businesses. Last month’s disappointing jobs numbers diminishes any likelihood of a change in this fiscal policy. Furthermore, any pricing pressures that may…
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